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Social interactions in voting behavior: distinguishing between strategic voting and the bandwagon effect

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dc.contributor.author Evrenk, Haldun
dc.contributor.author Sher, Chien Yuan
dc.date.accessioned 2019-07-08T13:24:02Z
dc.date.available 2019-07-08T13:24:02Z
dc.date.issued 2015-01
dc.identifier.citation Evrenk, H., & Sher, C. Y. (2015). Social interactions in voting behavior: distinguishing between strategic voting and the bandwagon effect. Public Choice, 162(3-4), 405-423. en_US
dc.identifier.issn 0048-5829
dc.identifier.uri https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-015-0241-3
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11851/1744
dc.description.abstract Prior studies of strategic voting in multi-party elections potentially overestimate the extent of it by counting erroneously votes cast under different motivations as strategic votes. We propose a method that corrects some of this overestimation by distinguishingbetween strategic voting (voting for a candidate other than the most preferred one to reduce the likelihood of an election victory by a third candidate that is disliked even more) and the votes cast under the ‘bandwagon effect’ (voting for the expected winner instead of the most preferred party to conform to the majority or to be on the winning side). Our method follows from the observation that a vote cannot be strategic unless the voter believes that it will affect the outcome of the election with a non-zero probability, while a vote cast under the bandwagon effect requires no such belief. Employing survey data that include the respondent’s assessment of the importance of his vote, we illustrate this method by estimating the extent of strategic voting in the 2005 UK general election. The estimated extent of strategic voting (4.22 %) is strictly less than self-reported strategic voting (6.94 %), but the discrepancy cannot be attributed in a statistically significant way to the bandwagon effect, suggesting that motivations other than those identified inthe literature may be at work.  en_US
dc.language.iso eng en_US
dc.publisher Kluwer Academic Publishers en_US
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.subject Voting behavior en_US
dc.subject Social interactions en_US
dc.subject Strategic voting en_US
dc.subject Bandwagon effects en_US
dc.subject Multi-party competition en_US
dc.title Social interactions in voting behavior: distinguishing between strategic voting and the bandwagon effect en_US
dc.type article en_US
dc.relation.journal Public Choice en_US
dc.contributor.department TOBB ETU, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Economics en_US
dc.contributor.department TOBB ETÜ, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü tr_TR
dc.identifier.volume 162
dc.identifier.issue 3
dc.identifier.startpage 405
dc.identifier.endpage 423
dc.contributor.orcid https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4730-1647
dc.identifier.scopus 2-s2.0-84925463082
dc.contributor.tobbetuauthor Evrenk, Haldun
dc.contributor.YOKid 22875
dc.identifier.doi 10.1007/s11127-015-0241-3
dc.contributor.ScopusAuthorID 23980092600
dc.relation.publicationcategory Makale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı tr_TR


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